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BoC to depart in a single day fee unchanged at subsequent week’s assembly – TD Securities

“We anticipate the BoC will depart the in a single day fee unchanged at subsequent week’s assembly, which is consistent with market expectations,” stated TD Securities analysts previewing the BoC assembly.

Key quotes

“The communique is prone to have a dovish tilt to it, because the current deterioration in financial information must outweigh the impression of upper oil costs.”

“Our base case is for the Financial institution to depart their ahead trying language principally unchanged, warning of upper coverage charges over time topic to the evolution of the information, as we anticipate Poloz will need to have a full forecast in hand earlier than a major shift in communication.”

“Nonetheless, the GDP figures do elevate legitimate questions over the Financial institution’s capacity to tighten additional, and as such we see a cloth danger that the Financial institution pivots to a purely impartial coverage stance. We’re due to this fact biased in direction of lengthy positions in CAD front-end charges forward of the discharge.”