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Canadian Greenback Outlook: USD/CAD Rally Stalls- Loonie Ranges


Canadian Greenback Technical Worth Outlook: Close to-term Commerce Ranges

  • Canadian Greenback up to date technical commerce ranges – Each day & Intraday Charts
  • USD/CAD rally weak as worth stalls into uptrend resistance
  • Resistance 1.2493, 1.2520 (key) – Help 1.2422, 1.2363/78 (crucial)

The Canadian Greenback is just about unchanged in opposition to the US Greenback for the reason that begin of the week with USD/CAD holding a decent vary in early US commerce on Tuesday. The latest USD rally stays weak near-term and we’re on the lookout for a breakout within the hours / days forward to supply steering. These are the up to date targets and invalidation ranges that matter on the USD/CAD worth charts. Evaluate my newest Technique Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this Loonie technical setup and extra.

Canadian Greenback Worth Chart – USD/CAD Each day

Canadian Dollar Price Chart - USD/CAD Daily - Loonie Trade Outlook - Technical Forecast

Chart Ready by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist; USD/CAD on Tradingview

Technical Outlook: In my final Canadian Greenback Worth Outlook we famous that USD/CAD was, “threatening a breakout right here into the November open – the quick focus is on 1.2365-1.2440 for steering.” A topside breach & shut above the 1.2440 resistance zone on November 4th has failed into uptrend channel resistance for the previous 4 days- is a near-term exhaustion excessive in place? A breakout of todays vary stands out as the inform.

Canadian Greenback Worth Chart – USD/CAD 120min

Canadian Dollar Price Chart - USD/CAD 120min - Loonie Trade Outlook - Technical Forecast

Notes: A more in-depth have a look at Loonie worth motion exhibits one other tackle a doable slope construction in USD/CAD with the weekly opening-range taking form simply above near-term help at 1.2422/40– we’re on the lookout for doable inflection off this zone. A break under would threaten a bigger USD correction with such a state of affairs exposing the month-to-month open at 1.2379 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the October advance / March low at 1.2363/65– each areas of curiosity for doable draw back exhaustion IF reached. Preliminary resistance stays on the September low at 1.2493 backed by the 38.2% retracement of the late-September decline at 1.2520– a breach / shut above this threshold would counsel a extra vital low was registered final month and sure gasoline one other bout of accelerated beneficial properties for the buck.

Backside line: USD/CAD has carved a well-defined weekly opening-range simply above confluent technical help. From at buying and selling standpoint, a great zone to cut back long-exposure / increase protecting stops- search for a breakout of the weekly opening-range for steering right here. In the end a transfer decrease might provide extra favorable alternatives with a every day shut above 1.2520 wanted to gasoline the following leg increased in worth. Evaluate my newest Canadian Greenback Weekly Worth Outlook for a better have a look at the longer-term USD/CAD technical commerce ranges.

For an entire breakdown of Michael’s buying and selling technique, evaluation his Foundations of Technical Evaluation collection on Building a Trading Strategy

Canadian Greenback Dealer Sentiment – USD/CAD Worth Chart

Canadian Dollar Trader Sentiment - USD/CAD Price Chart - Loonie Retail Positioning - Technical Outlook

  • A abstract of IG Consumer Sentiment exhibits merchants are net-long USD/CAD – the ratio stands at +2.54 (71.76% of merchants are lengthy) – usually bearish studying
  • Lengthy positions are5.65% increased than yesterday and three.66% decrease from final week
  • Quick positions are 3.23% increased than yesterday and three.53% decrease from final week
  • We usually take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the very fact merchants are net-long suggests USD/CAD costs might proceed to fall. Dealer are extra net-long than yesterday however much less net-long from final week. The mixture of present positioning and up to date modifications provides us an extra combined USD/CAD buying and selling bias from a sentiment standpoint.

Key US / Canada Knowledge Releases

Key US / Canada Data Releases - USD/CAD Event Risk - Loonie Economic Calendar

Financial Calendarnewest financial developments and upcoming occasion threat.

Energetic Technical Setups

  • Gold Worth Outlook: Gold Teeters Forward of FOMC, NFP- November Ranges
  • Australian Greenback Outlook: Aussie Rallies to Key Zone- AUD/USD Ranges
  • Japanese Yen Outlook: USD/JPY Rips To Resistance- Tug-of-Warfare into BoJ
  • US Greenback Outlook: USD Snaps Help- DXY Breakdown Ranges
  • Sterling Outlook: GBP/USD Breakout Runs Resistance- Sink or Swim?
  • Oil Worth Outlook: Oil Rips 32% in Eight Weeks- WTI Breakout Ranges

– Written by Michael Boutros, Foreign money Strategist with DailyFX

Comply with Michael on Twitter @MBForex

DailyFX gives foreign exchange information and technical evaluation on the tendencies that affect the worldwide foreign money markets.

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