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Canadian Greenback Technical Forecast: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY


Canadian Greenback, CAD, USD/CAD, CAD/JPY Technical Forecast: Combined (see beneath)

  • USD/CAD value motion has retreated again to a major space of assist 1.2622-1.2672.
  • CAD/JPY has prolonged its topside pattern and has up to now spent the whole week above the 90.00 psychological degree. The pair might proceed to be a extra enticing venue for long-CAD eventualities given the extraordinary focus paid to the USD presently, together with the U.S. inflation information set to be launched subsequent week.
  • The evaluation contained in article depends on value motion and chart formations. To study extra about value motion or chart patterns, try our DailyFX Training part.

It was a story of two developments for USD/CAD this week. Each the week and the yr started on a powerful notice, with the pair bouncing from a key zone of assist that had come into play final Friday. This is identical space of assist that held the lows earlier in December, and this space exhibits between two longer-term Fibonacci ranges that demarcates this key spot on the chart between 1.2622 and 1.2672. Within this zone is one other Fibonacci degree, the 23.6% retracement of the 2020-2021 sell-off.

And there’s some related historical past right here, as properly, as this zone was serving to to set assist earlier final yr till sellers have been lastly capable of break-through, after which it grew to become resistance in March and April.

USD/CAD Each day Value Chart

Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY

Chart ready by James Stanley; USDCAD on Tradingview

USD/CAD Susceptible to USD-Themes

Serving to to drive the pair via this week’s value motion was USD circulation. The U.S. forex stays in what’s changing into a longer-term vary, however after a bullish flare to start out the week costs started to turn-around within the aftermath of the Friday NFP report. That’s what helped USD/CAD to tug again in the direction of this very key space of assist.

At this level, that assist stays in-play and whereas it could give strategy to breakdowns ought to CAD-strength proceed to indicate, the query stays as as to whether USD/CAD can be probably the most enticing venue for such a state of affairs. Or, maybe, might merchants focus that CAD-strength expectation towards one other forex, such because the Japanese Yen which we’ll take a look at a bit of decrease on this article.

In USD/CAD, that key zone of assist is near-term assist till it’s damaged, and this will preserve the door open for bullish USD and/or bearish CAD eventualities. Above present value motion, the psychological degree of 1.2750 looms giant as this was the spot that helped to carry the resistance via this week. Past that, a spot round 1.2850 stays key, as this was a previous spot of resistance that bulls haven’t been capable of maintain above for very lengthy simply but. And past that, the identical 1.2950 that got here in because the excessive for 2021 capabilities as an ‘r3.’

Beneath present value motion – ought to this key zone of assist give method, the following huge spot on the chart is across the 1.2500 psychological degree. Under that, 1.2390, after which 1.2255 perform as s2 and s3 ranges.

USD/CAD Technical Forecast: Impartial

USD/CAD Each day Value Chart (Ranges Utilized)

Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY

Chart ready by James Stanley; USDCAD on Tradingview


Over the previous few months as USD/CAD has been exhibiting some ingredient of mean-reversion on longer-term charts, I’ve been focusing bullish-CAD eventualities in the direction of CAD/JPY. The technical juxtaposition of the pair is among the major causes and from the month-to-month chart beneath, we are able to see a topside breach of a serious trendline that befell via the second-half of final yr, coupled with a assist inflection round prior resistance in December.

CAD/JPY Month-to-month Value Chart

Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY

Chart ready by James Stanley; CADJPY on Tradingview

CAD/JPY Shorter-Time period

After a nasty two-month spill noticed greater than 500 pips erased from the spot value of the pair, assist confirmed up round that trendline projection after which bulls made a pronounced re-entry again into the equation.

Alongside the way in which, consumers punched value again above the psychological 90.00 deal with forward of year-end, and up to now this week costs have remained above this key spot on the chart with out a lot as a take a look at of the massive determine. I highlighted a assist take a look at right here on Monday that has since seen bulls soar again on the bid.

Close to-term value motion stays in a precarious spot for bulls, posturing close to the highs and pretty far-off from close by assist. However, this does preserve the door open for bullish eventualities which may come again into play with both a pullback to assist working from 90.00-90.25 or, alternatively, a topside breakout past the 91.66 excessive.

CAD/JPY Technical Forecast: Bullish

CAD/JPY 4-Hour Value Chart

Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY

Chart ready by James Stanley; CADJPY on Tradingview

— Written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist for

Contact and comply with James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX gives foreign exchange information and technical evaluation on the developments that affect the worldwide forex markets.

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