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Crude Oil Eyes New Highs Regardless of Threat Aversion Elsewhere on Fitch Determination


Crude Oil, WTI, Brent, Fitch, AA+, US Greenback, Treasuries, HSI, Nikkei 225, Gold – Speaking Factors

  • The crude oil value pressed towards elevated ranges as markets recalibrated
  • The Fitch downgrade dominated value motion, however the influence has been disparate
  • If the risk-off angle continues, will WTI face headwinds?

The crude oil value has managed to carry the excessive floor despite the fact that different growth-aligned property took a success on Wednesday.

The WTI futures contract is a contact above US$ 82 bbl whereas the Brent contract has overcome US$ 85.50 bbl.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) stock report most likely helped to underpin black gold after the newest information confirmed a drop of 15.four million barrels within the week ended July 28th.

The market awaits at the moment’s US Vitality Info Company (EIA) weekly petroleum standing report for additional proof of a squeeze on provide or in any other case..

One of many dominant credit standing companies, Fitch, downgraded its US sovereign debt credit standing to AA+ from AAA after the North American shut. That is the primary time that the company has achieved so in nearly 30 years.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen referred to the choice as ‘arbitrary’ and ‘outdated’

Considerably unusually, Treasuries rallied within the aftermarket with yields briefly dipping earlier than recovering. The market appears to be heading towards perceived secure havens, despite the fact that this asset is on the centre of the storm.

Going towards the grain, gold has struggled at the moment, with the spot value sliding below US$ 1,950.

Fairness markets have been much less lucky with a sea of pink throughout the APAC area at the moment. Futures costs are pointing towards a comfortable begin to the European and Wall Road opens.

Hong Kong’s Cling Seng (HSI) and Japan’s Nikkei 225 fairness indices have led the best way decrease, sinking over 2%.

Forex markets have mirrored the risk-off tone with the growth-linked Aussie and Kiwi {Dollars} seeing the biggest losses at the moment.

Trying forward, the US will see MBA mortgage purposes and ADP employment change information.

The total financial calendar may be seen right here.


The WTI futures contract has made a 3-month excessive at the moment, persevering with on from a stellar run-up by July.

The ascending development has been considerably orderly as highlighted by the value remaining inside the 21-day easy shifting common (SMA) based mostly Bollinger Band.

Simply above the value, the 82.50 83.50 could be a resistance zone with a number of earlier peak peaks and breakpoints.

On the draw back, assist may very well be on the 260-day SMA of 79.62, the breakpoint of 77.33, or the prior low of 83.82 which additionally coincides with the 100-day SMA.


Chart created in TradingView

— Written by Daniel McCarthy, Strategist for

Please contact Daniel through @DanMcCarthyFX on Twitter

DailyFX supplies foreign exchange information and technical evaluation on the tendencies that affect the worldwide forex markets.

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