Fundamental Analysis

01 May: US Federal Reserve will do nothing

On May 1, US monetary policy makers, who decide upon the supply of the US Dollar, announced the Federal Funds Rate. The rate is used as a base rate for all USD denominated debt. The Fed has kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.50%, as the financial markets expected. In addition, the central bank has

25 Apr: Advance GDP impacts markets

Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the US Advance GDP data for the first quarter of 2024. The release shocked the markets by being below expectations. The market consensus forecast was that GDP had increased by 2.5% over the quarter. Actual released data revealed growth of just 1.6%. This publication confirms what other data sets

24 Apr: US PMIs beat down the Greenback

On April 23rd, the US Dollar dropped at 13:45 GMT. The drop was created by the publication of the United States Manufacturing and Services sector Purchasing Managers Indices. Released numbers showed a slowdown of US business activity. Both PMIs were forecast to reveal an expansion with a reading of 52.0. Actual numbers were 50.9 for

23 Apr: Euro surges as a result of EU PMIs

The European Union country Purchasing Managers Indices were released from 07:15 GMT up to 08:00 GMT. In general, the event caused a surge of the Euro. However, the move was stopped by the 1.0675/1.0690 range and the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.0695. In general, the markets expected that the Manufacturing and Services sectors

15 Apr: US Retail Gross sales knowledge strengthens the USD

The US Census Bureau has published the United States monthly retail sales data. In general, the data shows high demand at the retail level. The publication strengthened the US Dollar’s value. Higher retail sales indicate that consumers continue to buy despite rising prices. The data signals that retailers can and will continue to increase prices

14 Apr: US inflation is worse than anticipated

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the United States inflation data. The US Consumer Price Index monthly change, Core CPI and annual CPI change have revealed that inflation is even higher than expected. Financial markets reacted to the new information by buying the US Dollar and selling off other assets. Month on month

12 Apr: USA producer costs enhance as anticipated

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the US Producer Price Index data sets. Namely, price inflation change at the company level. It turns out that producer inflation has grown, but at an expected pace. Meanwhile, note that the President of the ECB is scheduled to host a press conference at 12:45 GMT. However